Ukrainian Wages Forecast to Rise in February 2026, Driven by Public Sector Increases.

Forecast for Average Wages in Ukraine

According to TSN.ua: Despite ongoing difficulties in the corporate sector, the average wage in Ukraine is projected to increase in February 2026. This rise is primarily due to planned salary hikes for public sector workers, including those in healthcare, education, and energy. According to forecasts, the average wage was 27,000-28,000 hryvnias in January and is expected to climb by 1,000 hryvnias in February, reaching 28,850 hryvnias. These public sector raises are a significant government policy in a challenging economic climate.

The public sector employs a critical mass of over 2.5 million people. Approximately one million teachers and doctors have already received raises ranging from 3,400 to nearly 9,000 hryvnias. Additionally, energy sector workers are getting a fixed supplement of 20,000 hryvnias. Furthermore, the hryvnia's exchange rate appreciated by 2% in February, which may also influence the overall wage level.

Challenges in the Corporate Sector

However, alongside these positive developments in the public sector, negative factors persist. Andriy Zablovsky noted that the average wage in February might remain at January's level or even decrease slightly.

'The average wage in February may remain at January's level or even decrease slightly.' Andriy Zablovsky

Beyond this, the corporate sector is grappling with issues like falling revenues and unpaid leave for staff.

The wage increases for public sector employees could become a crucial factor for improving the country's economic situation, especially given the corporate sector's crisis. However, it is necessary to consider that such raises may not be sufficient to support the overall economic balance. The government's subsequent actions in economic policy will likely determine whether the country can emerge from the crisis and ensure stable growth in population incomes.