The Center for Countering Disinformation named possible scenarios for power outages in Ukraine in winter.
Forecasts regarding power supply in Ukraine in winter
The Center for Countering Disinformation presented several scenarios for the development of the power supply situation in Ukraine during the autumn-winter period. The most optimistic forecast predicts that Ukrainians will have electricity for up to 12 hours a day. The CCD reports this.
Yuriy Korolchuk, an expert from the Institute of Energy Strategies, noted that under favorable conditions - stable operation of 8-9 nuclear power plant units and a relatively warm winter - it is possible to restore about 3 GW out of the damaged 6 GW capacity. In this case, power outages will last up to 12 hours a day.
According to the pessimistic scenario, if only 2000 MW are restored, and 6-7 nuclear power plant units operate during a severe winter, Ukrainians may be left without electricity for up to 20 hours a day.
In the worst-case scenario, if Russia continues to attack Ukraine's energy infrastructure, Ukrainians may spend up to 20 hours a day without electricity and heating this winter.
According to the forecast of Serhiy Nagorniak, a member of the Verkhovna Rada's energy committee, if the temperature in winter drops to -10°C, Ukrainians are highly likely to have electricity for only 12-14 hours a day, with the remaining 10 hours or so spent without power.
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