ISW: Systematic strikes on Russian arsenals could change the course of the war in Ukraine.
Ukraine's strikes on Russian military facilities could significantly impact the course of hostilities
Experts from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) analyzed the possible impact of Ukrainian strikes on military facilities located on Russian territory.
They concluded that such a tactic could significantly change the course of hostilities in the war in Ukraine if the Armed Forces of Ukraine have the necessary resources to continue such operations.
According to ISW, the Russian army daily uses about 10,000 artillery shells at the front and actively employs 'Shahed' drones to attack Ukrainian cities.
September and October were months when Ukrainian forces struck important ammunition depots in the Tver, Bryansk, and Krasnodar regions of Russia.
"Although a single strike is unlikely to have a major impact on Russia's military efforts, repeated strikes on ammunition depots in Russia will force the Russian command to reconsider its plans and the location of logistics systems. Such a step would allow mitigating the consequences of strikes by optimizing logistics to support the war in Ukraine"
ISW experts believe that the availability of Western weapons systems would allow Ukraine to more effectively exploit the weaknesses of Russian logistics.
At the same Time, the Institute emphasizes that to significantly influence the course of the war, it is necessary to have the appropriate material resources, capabilities, and permission to conduct such operations.
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