Ukrainian Hryvnia Holds Steady Through Late February 2026: No Major Shifts Expected.
Hryvnia Exchange Rate Status in February 2026
According to TSN.ua: The Ukrainian hryvnia exchange rate stabilized in the second half of February 2026, showing resilience despite minor fluctuations in the US dollar and euro. Experts forecast no significant changes in the rate until at least mid-March. The end of the winter season brought no surprises for Ukraine's currency, indicating a degree of stability in the country's financial markets.
Currency Exchange Figures
From February 16 to 28, 2026, the average cash rate for the US dollar fluctuated between 43.40 and 43.50 UAH per dollar. As of February 28, the average selling and buying rates for the dollar were 43.36 UAH and 42.85 UAH, respectively. On the same date, the cash euro was valued at 51.32 UAH for selling and 50.72 UAH for buying.
Positive news regarding further financial assistance for Ukraine from international partners is a key factor behind this currency stability.
"The primary reason for this stability is positive news about further financial aid for Ukraine from foreign partners," noted Oleg Pendzin, an expert from the Economic Discussion Club.At the same time, economist Andriy Zablovsky, Head of the Secretariat of the Council of Entrepreneurs under the Cabinet of Ministers, emphasized that achieving stability is extremely difficult given the conditions of a five-year war and an economy reliant on external aid. This context highlights the fragile nature of the current equilibrium.
Furthermore, on February 27, 2026, the IMF Executive Board approved a new four-year financing program for Ukraine worth $8.1 billion, which is also expected to positively impact the country's financial situation. Financial analyst Andriy Shevchyshyn, a member of the Ukrainian Society of Financial Analysts, pointed out that such funding programs are crucial for maintaining stability in the foreign exchange market.
Therefore, the close of February 2026 is marked by a stable hryvnia, with experts predicting no major shifts in the immediate future.
The situation in Ukraine's currency market points to a measure of stability, which could, in turn, support economic recovery during a prolonged crisis. Key factors underpinning this stability are international financial assistance and programs approved by organizations like the IMF. However, the continuation of external dependence remains a significant challenge for the country's future economic development.
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