Trump's Policy and the End of the War Between Ukraine and Russia: FT Forecasts 2025.

Illustration for the article on Trump's policy and the future of Ukraine-Russia relations
Illustration for the article on Trump's policy and the future of Ukraine-Russia relations

According to the Financial Times, Ukraine and Russia may sign a peace agreement in 2025.

In its forecast, the Financial Times notes that for the war in Ukraine to end, the US must threaten stricter sanctions against Russia and support Kyiv. This will compel the Kremlin to seriously approach peace negotiations.

'Yes. But for this, the US president will have to compel Moscow to seriously come to the negotiating table through threats of increased sanctions and increased support for Kyiv. Volodymyr Zelensky will agree to de facto, but not de jure, Russian control over the occupied territories with a certain land exchange in exchange for security guarantees from the EU and the US. Ukraine's NATO membership will be postponed. Putin will hope for a loss of European resolve.'

The Financial Times also responded to the question of whether US President Donald Trump will resolve the tariff war.

'Probably yes. He may impose a 10% tariff on at least half of US imports, including goods from China.'

The Financial Times forecast also concerns interest rates in the US.

'No. Trump's economic policy may exacerbate inflationary pressure, forcing the Federal Reserve to maintain rates.'

The forecast also anticipates that Emmanuel Macron will remain president of France, but his position will weaken due to a political crisis caused by the loss of a parliamentary majority.

The Financial Times also claims that major tech companies such as Alphabet, Apple, Tesla, etc., will not lose their leadership positions, but their growth will be limited due to excessive capital investments and disillusionment with artificial intelligence.

Forecasts indicate that export prices from China will decrease due to growing competition from Chinese companies, which will affect global markets.

It is also noted in the forecast that Elon Musk and Donald Trump will not quarrel. Musk will support Trump for the benefit of his companies.

The Financial Times believes that Germany will loosen its 'debt brakes' due to military spending and economic stagnation, which will force the government to reconsider its policy.

The bond market is not expected to collapse, but risks remain. The Financial Times predicts that the US will avoid a financial crash.

Regarding carbon emissions reduction in China, the Financial Times believes that despite progress in renewable energy, economic stimulus will increase energy demand, so emissions will not decrease.

Concerning tax increases by the UK government, the forecast notes that taxes will remain unchanged at least temporarily, but obligations may become a problem due to a lack of funds.

It was previously reported that the Russian army has strengthened border protection with Ukraine.


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