Russia prepares for a new blackout: will Ukraine have enough air defense resources.

According to ТСН: Russia is intensifying attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, aiming to leave the country without electricity and heating. Due to extensive shelling by the Russian army, thousands of households are already suffering from power and heating outages, particularly in the Kyiv and Dnipropetrovsk regions.

Can Russia arrange a blackout in Ukraine

Military expert Oleg Zhadanov claims that a blackout is the goal of Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy system. He notes that such a scenario is becoming increasingly probable.

"They are aiming for that. The essence of all attacks is to leave us without electricity. Unfortunately, in our situation, this is becoming quite probable, as we have problems with air defense, especially with missile defense," the expert explained.

Zhadanov also noted that in other aspects of air defense, the situation is better, but regarding missile defense, it is much more complicated.

How Russia exhausts Ukrainian air defense: scheme of attacks

The expert emphasized that Russia acts systematically and plans each attack, usually striking in several waves.

"They strike in the evening with ballistic missiles. And ballistic missiles are almost guaranteed to hit the targets they aim for. Then throughout the night, they exhaust our air defense with 'Shaheds', and in the morning, they launch cruise missiles," Zhadanov mentioned.

Drone attacks that continue throughout the night complicate rescue operations for emergency services.

"Our rescuers and medics often come under repeated fire and are killed. Just a few days ago, medics who were helping the injured perished," the expert emphasized.

The situation is critical, as fires continue at night, and people may die from hypothermia or injuries. In the morning, Russia strikes again with missiles, knowing that air defense is already exhausted.

Why Russia does not use strategic aviation

Commenting on the absence of strategic aviation during recent attacks, Zhadanov suggested possible problems with planes or missiles.

"I think there are either problems with aviation or with the X-101 missiles. Otherwise, they would have used them long ago," he noted.

How often can Russia arrange mass shelling

According to the expert, Russia will not be able to carry out such large-scale attacks frequently due to limited missile supplies. Zhadanov pointed out that the occupiers have started using S-300 missiles, indicating a shortage of munitions.

"They are mixing ballistic 'Iskanders' with S-300 missiles for short-range strikes — up to 100–110 km. This is a sign that their supplies are dwindling," he explained.

At the same time, Russia still has a certain number of 'Shahed' drones, ballistic and cruise missiles, which they will try to use gradually.

Which cities are under threat of Russian strikes

Zhadanov believes that Kyiv remains the main target of Russian attacks.

"They want to completely eliminate Kyiv. Kharkiv is the second capital that they have been trying to destroy for more than a year. But Kyiv as the capital is a symbol. If Kyiv 'goes out' — they consider it their enormous victory," the expert noted.

Currently, the enemy is attacking not only Kyiv but also Kyiv region, in order to disable the high-voltage power lines that supply the capital.

How attacks on substations can 'cripple' the energy system

The expert explained that Ukraine's energy system operates on a balance between electricity production and consumption.

"If this balance is disrupted, the automation without human intervention begins rolling blackouts. The system operates automatically, and if a substation goes down, it automatically disconnects part of the consumers," he explained.

This is exactly what Russia aims to achieve — by damaging substations in the Kyiv region, it creates a shortage of electricity, leading to an imbalance throughout the entire system.

"Then the system 'collapses' by itself, and it has to be manually restored and balanced. From a military standpoint, these shellings are planned very carefully and skillfully," Zhadanov emphasized.

In conclusion, the expert noted that Ukraine has not carried out strikes on Russian territory in the past week, which also affects the situation.

"We cannot overcome Russia with drones. Missiles, ballistics, and cruise missiles cannot be stopped by drones. And until there is a strong response to key facilities in Russia, we will not stop Russia," Oleg Zhadanov concluded.

In recent weeks, Russian attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure have reached proportions that threaten not only electricity supply but also people's lives. In the face of a possible mass attack, the absence of strategic aviation and the exhaustion of air defense resources pose a great risk for Ukrainian cities, especially for Kyiv, which remains the enemy's main target. The expert compellingly emphasizes the need for active measures from the Ukrainian side to prevent further losses.