Two Paths for Russia: Eliminating Putin or Continuing the War, Says Russian Analyst.

Alexander Morozov's Take on Russia and Its Aggression Against Ukraine

According to Espreso.tv: Alexander Morozov, a Russian opposition analyst based in Prague, argues that Russian society has failed to properly grasp the causes and consequences of the war against Ukraine. In his assessment, he outlined two potential scenarios for Russia as the conflict drags on.

Morozov pointed out that the Kremlin's position will only become more precarious, and as setbacks mount, Russians will increasingly look for scapegoats to blame for their troubles.

“The tougher things get for the Kremlin, the more actively Russians will seek justifications for their own failures,” said Alexander Morozov.

Possible Futures for Russia

Among the possible outcomes for Russia, Morozov highlighted two main possibilities:

• the war continues
• the removal of current President Vladimir Putin

According to the expert, if the Russian elite concludes that prolonging the war is driving the country toward self-destruction, they may decide to eliminate Putin.

“If the elite decides there is no point in pushing the country further toward suicide, they could move to eliminate Putin,” Morozov stated.

In the context of Russia's current situation, it is worth noting that one of the country's wealthiest individuals is Andrey Melnichenko, who ranks eighth on the Forbes list with a fortune of around $20 billion. This highlights the economic interests that could shape political decisions within the nation.

Morozov's insights thus reflect the complex reality in Russia, where the war with Ukraine is generating fresh challenges for both society and the political elite.

His perspective underscores a deep internal rift within Russian society and its leadership, where military failures could trigger major shifts in the political landscape. Preserving economic stability and the interests of powerful businessmen like Melnichenko may become a key factor in determining the country's future course. This suggests that Russia's domestic political dynamics could undergo significant changes depending on developments at the front and the public's response to economic hardships.