Estonia's Intelligence: Russia is not preparing an attack on NATO but is sabotaging Europe's rearmament.

According to ТСН: As of today, there are no signs of a potential Russian attack on NATO countries, but there is activity aimed at obstructing the rearmament of European states.

Comment from the Estonian intelligence officer

This was stated in an interview by Kaupo Roosin, the Director General of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service.

“What we see today is that Russia currently has no intentions of attacking the Baltic States or NATO in a broader sense,” emphasized Roosin.

He also noted that the Kremlin has changed its tactics after the West's response to several provocations, including damage to underwater cables in the Baltic Sea and drone activity in the airspace of NATO countries.

“We observe that Russian planes over the Baltic Sea are now very carefully adhering to designated routes. They try to avoid incidents,” he clarified.

Russia's Plans

At the same time, Roosin stressed that Russia wants to slow down the rearmament process in Europe. He reminded of the Kremlin's statement that Russia does not plan to attack the EU.

“This is part of the Kremlin's reassuring message. The goal is to create a sense in Europe that there is no threat, so there is no need to rush with rearmament,” the head of the Estonian intelligence explained.

According to Roosin, the Kremlin is actively cooperating with certain politicians and influential groups, trying to impose the idea of a “futile” arms race that diverts resources from other important areas and creates a false sense of security in European countries.

Earlier, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte noted that only the President of the United States has influence over Russian President Vladimir Putin so that he agrees to negotiations and reaches peace in the war against Ukraine.

Moreover, there is speculation that in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, Xi Jinping may pressure Putin to consider the possibility of aggression against one of the European NATO countries.

These comments from the Estonian intelligence officer indicate that despite rising tensions in the region, the current situation still allows for avoiding open conflict between Russia and NATO. At the same time, the threat of aggression remains relevant, and Russia's attempts to slow down the defense efforts of European countries could lead to undesirable consequences in the future.