Belarus Prepares for War Against Ukraine: Opposition Submits Evidence to Sybiha.

Analytical Report from the Belarusian Opposition

According to Espreso.tv: Ukraine has received an analytical report from the Belarusian opposition detailing preparations for Belarus to potentially join the war on Russia's side. The document was handed over to Ukraine's Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha. The initiative came from Pavel Latushko, deputy head of the Unified Transitional Cabinet of Belarus, who stated:

“We are documenting evidence indicating that Belarus is gearing up for possible direct involvement in the war alongside Russia.” - Pavel Latushko

According to the report, significant military and legislative shifts have occurred in Belarus since 2022. Following constitutional amendments, the country has abandoned its status as a neutral and nuclear-free state. A new military doctrine adopted in 2024 authorizes preemptive strikes, signaling an escalation in military activity and potential intentions for Belarus to take a more active role in hostilities.

Changes in Belarus's Military Structure

The report also highlights a roughly 1.5-fold increase in the number of contract soldiers since 2022. Key figures include:

• Belarus's mobilization reserve is estimated at 289,000 people.
• The total army strength could exceed 80,000 troops.
• The 'people's militia' could potentially reach up to 150,000 members.

In this context, on June 19, 2023, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called on Belarus to dismantle relay towers, underscoring the threats that could arise from intensified military cooperation between Belarus and Russia.

This report from the Belarusian opposition underscores the need to monitor military changes in Belarus, which could have serious implications for regional security. Given the growing military activity and shifts in Belarus's military doctrine, Ukraine and the international community must closely watch developments that could affect stability in Eastern Europe. Collaboration between Belarus and Russia may heighten tensions in the region and pose a threat to neighboring countries' security.