Bookmakers Assess Chances of Ceasefire in Ukraine by 2025.

According to the online platform Polymarket, based on bookmaker odds, there is a 66% probability that the fire in Ukraine will cease by 2025. At the beginning of the year, this figure was 71%.

Additionally, according to bookmakers, there is a 26% probability that U.S. President Donald Trump will end the war in Ukraine within the next 90 days. In November, this figure exceeded 50%.

As of January 17, the probability that Trump will end the war in Ukraine within the first 90 days of his presidency was 34%. This figure has decreased compared to two months ago when it was nearly 50%. At the beginning of the year, analysts estimated the likelihood of such a development at 40%.

Progress has been made in negotiations for a ceasefire in Ukraine in the United States. This was reported by U.S. President Donald Trump. This could be the first official meeting between Putin and the U.S. President in 2022. Trump refused to disclose details of the negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

White House National Security Advisor, Mike Waltz, also stated that Trump plans to end the war in Ukraine, but Europe must provide Ukraine with security guarantees.