Chelsea vs Brighton: EPL match prediction and bookmakers' odds.
According to The Sun: Chelsea hosts Brighton at Stamford Bridge on Saturday in a Premier League match.
SunSport betting experts have analyzed the encounter and prepared the best bets, tips, and exclusive offers from our top betting partners.
Analysis of the Chelsea vs Brighton match
Familiar rivals Chelsea and Brighton will meet again at Stamford Bridge this Saturday afternoon. It feels like a school reunion.
Brighton owner Tony Bloom has previously referred to Chelsea as his 'best client', and there are solid reasons for this - the total amount of player sales that have moved to the West London club approaches £260 million.
Marc Cucurella (£60m), Robert Sanchez (£25m), Moisés Caicedo (£110m), and recently João Pedro (£60m) have all moved from the coast to the capital since 2022.
All players, except Sanchez, are expected to be available for the match this week. The Spanish goalkeeper will miss the game due to a red card received just five minutes into the match against Manchester United, in which Chelsea suffered their first defeat of the season.
The season has been a mixed bag so far under Enzo Maresca's management. The team has earned eight points from a possible 15 and sits in eighth place in the table.
However, they returned to winning ways on Wednesday night, beating League One team Lincoln City in the Carabao Cup. Now they hope that this success will boost their confidence.
Chelsea has an impressive record against Brighton at Stamford Bridge, winning nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions. The team is unbeaten in their last 12 home matches in the Premier League (9 wins, 3 draws) and has three clean sheets in the last nine games.
However, in their last two league matches, the team conceded two goals each, which is unusual for them — the same number they conceded in the previous 15 encounters. Maresca plans to change this trend.
As for the visitors, Brighton also cannot boast a successful start to the season, having earned only five points from 15 possible — their worst start in six years.
Fabian Hurter's team has been struggling with defensive issues. They are still searching for their first clean sheet in the Premier League this season, having kept only one clean sheet in their last 17 starting matches in the top division.
However, the 'Seagulls' have an edge in their recent encounters with Chelsea, winning three of their last six matches. Moreover, they come into this match in good spirits following an impressive 6-0 victory over Barnsley on Wednesday in the Carabao Cup.
Betting odds for the Chelsea vs Brighton match
- Chelsea 4/5 with William Hill
- Draw 3/1 with Midnite
- Brighton 29/10 with BetMGM
Odds are current at the time of publication and may change.
Predictions and betting tips for the Chelsea vs Brighton match
Goals!
These teams rarely play without scoring goals. In the last seven direct encounters, 28 goals have been scored, and three of these matches ended with more than 3.5 goals.
Keeping clean sheets is rare for Brighton, who have managed only one clean sheet in their last 17 away games in the Premier League. Chelsea also hasn’t showcased reliable defending, conceding eight goals in their last four matches across all competitions.
However, in attack, both teams possess their strengths. They both rank among the top five for expected goals (xG) this season. Brighton, meanwhile, sits third for expected goals conceded when facing open attacking play.
- Over 3.5 goals at 7/5 with William Hill
Winner and exact score
- First goal: João Pedro at 4/1 with Midnite
- Exact score: 4-2 at 35/1 with Betfred
Cards
This may not be the boldest prediction, but it is highly likely that former Brighton midfielder Moisés Caicedo will end up in the referee's notebook on Saturday.
The 23-year-old player received an impressive 16 yellow cards during his last season at Chelsea, 11 of which were in the Premier League.
He also frequently receives cards in matches against his former team, obtaining a yellow card in four of his six appearances against Brighton, including both of the last two encounters.
- Moisés Caicedo to receive a card at 2/1 with William Hill
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