Economist Ustenko: why Russia will not collapse and what will happen with aggression.
Analysis of the state of the Russian economy
According to inkorr.com: Economist Oleg Ustenko analyzed the state of the Russian economy, debunking myths about the country's rapid decline and warning of the dangers of naive optimism. During a conversation with Yuriy Romanenko, it became known that the negotiations of the Russian envoy Dmitriev with American politicians were unsuccessful, leading to new sanctions against 'Lukoil' and 'Rosneft'.
Analysis of the economic situation
Ustenko identified three time periods for assessing the situation in Russia. In the long term, the economic situation looks very bad; he noted that all statements about import substitution are merely an illusion. The main problem is the country's isolation from global technology and industrial equipment markets.
Short-term prospects are even riskier, with a high level of threat. Ustenko examined the impact of sanctions on the oil sector, explaining the pressure mechanism on Russia and the consequences of these measures.
Analyzing the Russian economy, Ustenko noted problems with inflation, the Central Bank's rate, and the overall state of the economy. He drew parallels with Iran's experience, considering possible scenarios for the situation's development.
Increase in aggression level
The most alarming conclusion was the warning about a possible increase in aggression from Russia in the near future. In the geopolitical context, Ukraine occupies an important place for all participants: Europe, Russia, the USA, and China.
At the end of the conversation, Ustenko and Romanenko emphasized the importance of a realistic perception of Russia's future and preparation for potential difficult times. It is necessary to consider real problems and maintain cold realism.
Thus, the analysis of the economic situation in Russia indicates serious challenges facing the country under the pressure of sanctions and international isolation. Attention to the geopolitical context and readiness to respond to threats remain relevant for Ukraine and its partners.
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