The End of the Islamic Republic: What Will Happen to Iran and the World by 2026.

According to ТСН: The fall of the Islamic Republic could significantly alter global geopolitics and energy markets.

U.S. President Donald Trump, considering successes in Venezuela and the bombing of Iranian nuclear facilities, may take advantage of the situation to change the political regime, despite the risks of creating a power vacuum, similar to the situation after the removal of Saddam in Iraq.

Analysts believe that by the end of 2026, the Islamic Republic will likely no longer exist in its current form.

Possible Scenarios for Development

• A military coup by the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps). This could lead to increased social freedoms, as generals rather than clergy lead the organization, but it would also reduce political rights.

• The disintegration of the country. There is a risk of factionalism, where ethnic minorities and individual provinces may begin to demand autonomy.

• Chaos resembling the events of the 'Arab Spring.'

What Is Happening in Iran

Widespread protests in Iran have escalated into nationwide unrest. According to international and regional media, demonstrations have swept through 185 cities across the country, and clashes between security forces and protesters are becoming increasingly intense.

In the last two days, the death toll may exceed 2000, and the human rights organization HRANA reports over 2600 arrests. In the city of Qazvin, security forces opened fire with live ammunition on unarmed protesters, according to eyewitnesses.

In the midst of the unrest, Iranian authorities have restricted internet access for over 60 hours, complicating the verification and dissemination of information.

Trump has promised to respond 'toughly' to the killings of protesters in Iran, further raising international attention to the events.

The situation in Iran continues to remain tense, and the international community is closely watching the events. All eyes are now on the possible repercussions in response to the protests, which may impact the situation in the region and global energy markets. Protesters are trying to express their dissatisfaction, and the world is waiting for the authorities' response, as well as actions from international leaders, including the President of the United States.