Bloomberg assessed when the Armed Forces of Ukraine can retreat from the Kursk region.

Western media report that Russia, despite its successes in Donbas, will not be able to drive the Armed Forces of Ukraine out of Kursk until spring 2025. According to Bloomberg, if Russia intensifies its actions at the beginning of next year, Ukrainian forces will be able to hold out in Kursk until spring 2025.

The situation is difficult for Ukraine as it faces a shortage of personnel and uncertainty regarding future supplies from the US and other allies. At the same time, Ukrainian forces have managed to hold their positions in Kursk longer than expected, thanks to the allowance from the US to use long-range missiles to strike Russia.

Ukraine needs to maintain its positions

The publication emphasizes that it is vital for Ukraine to hold Kursk as leverage in future negotiations, and that reaching a ceasefire agreement may take several months due to the complexity of the situation for both sides.

Russian officials state that they are unaware of proposals from the Trump administration regarding freezing the war in exchange for guarantees of Ukraine not joining NATO. They also plan to prolong negotiations to capture even more territory if possible.

Ukrainian forces are suffering losses

Additionally, since the beginning of the operation, Russia and North Korean forces have already suffered significant losses. However, their attacks on Ukrainian positions continue, and the number of dead and wounded among Ukrainian soldiers is growing every day.

Ukrainian officials hope that President Zelensky will decide on a withdrawal from Kursk to avoid significant losses. Despite this, Ukrainian forces still hold certain advantages on the battlefield thanks to support from the US.