Dollar in mid-October: banker gave a currency forecast.
Taras Lesovyi, head of the treasury department at "Globus Bank", in a comment for UNIAN expressed a forecast regarding the state of the currency market for the period from October 14 to 20.
According to him, the exchange rate corridor will remain stable: 41.1-41.7 UAH/USD and 45-47 UAH/EUR on the interbank market, and 41.2-41.9 UAH/USD and 45-47.5 UAH/EUR on the cash market.
He also noted that although a new "round" of inflation may lead to changes in the rate, they will be insignificant and will not become a threat to the overall balance between supply and demand.
Taras Lesovyi pointed out that the National Bank closely monitors the mood of buyers and, if necessary, responds promptly to increased demand.
He also added that the volume of foreign exchange interventions by the National Bank will remain approximately at the level of 150-180 million dollars per day over the next few weeks.
In general, the characteristics of the currency market from October 14 to 20 will be as follows:
- exchange rate corridors on the interbank market: 41.1-41.7 UAH/USD and 45-47 UAH/EUR;
- exchange rate corridors on the cash market: 41.2-41.9 UAH/USD and 45-47.5 UAH/EUR;
- daily exchange rate changes: on the interbank market up to 0.2-0.3 UAH, in banks up to 0.3-0.5 UAH, in exchange offices up to 0.5 UAH;
- difference between buying and selling rates: on the interbank market up to 0.05 UAH per dollar, up to 0.1 UAH per euro, in commercial banks up to 0.5-0.6 UAH per dollar, up to 0.8-1 UAH per euro, in exchange offices up to 0.6-1 UAH per dollar, up to 1-1.3 UAH per euro;
The banker emphasized that it is expected that weekly exchange rate deviations will be within 2% of the initial Monday rate.
He concluded that the next week will be characterized by maintaining the balance between supply and demand, stable exchange rate changes, and a "managed flexibility" regime under the supervision of the National Bank.
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