Poor Harvest 2025: Will This Affect the Hryvnia Exchange Rate - Expert Explanations.

The Ukrainian hryvnia exchange rate may change due to the harvest results. Due to the deterioration of grain yields caused by adverse weather conditions in the summer of 2025, a smaller harvest with possible quality deterioration is expected. However, this should not significantly affect the currency market.

Danylo Hetmantsev, head of the Ukrainian Parliament's Committee on Finance, Taxation and Customs Policy, stated on the Evening.LIVE program that the harvest will not significantly influence the hryvnia exchange rate and the payment balance regardless of its results.

Forecasts for the Hryvnia Exchange Rate

Experts believe that the influence of the harvest on the hryvnia exchange rate will be minimal and will not lead to a collapse, even in the case of a poor harvest. Danylo Hetmantsev thinks that we will cope with this challenge just as we did with previous ones.

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It is also worth noting that the future situation in the currency market will be affected by the ratio of the euro to the dollar. Experts recommend that it is not worth buying euros now, as a decrease in the exchange rate is more likely closer to autumn, while the dollar may appreciate.

Conclusion: According to the opinions expressed by the experts, the deterioration of grain yields in the summer of 2025 is not critical for the Ukrainian hryvnia exchange rate, as the impact of this factor on the currency market will be minimal. The recommendations of the experts regarding the ratio of the euro to the dollar should also be considered when making decisions about currency transactions.