Expert: Kremlin's Peace Strategy Relies on Hope and Chance.

An Analysis of Kremlin Strategy in Peace Talks

According to UATV: Public policy expert Ilya Kotos analyzes the Kremlin's approach to delaying peace negotiations with Ukraine. He asserts that Moscow is counting on external crises to divert the international community's attention away from the conflict. Kotos emphasizes that the Kremlin lacks any alternative plan, a deficiency that could negatively impact the future course of events.

The State of Negotiations

Currently, the Kremlin is actively stalling the negotiation process with Ukraine, hoping for random geopolitical shifts that might alter the balance of power. As an example, the expert cites the situation with Iran and the potential for U.S. military action, believing such events could draw attention away from the Ukrainian issue.

Kotos notes that the Kremlin has no Plan B or C, jeopardizing Russia's strategic interests within the context of international politics. Economic sanctions imposed by the U.S. could have a severe impact on Russia's economy, which in turn might pressure the Kremlin to alter its strategy.

"This is a strategy of wishful thinking," says Ilya Kotos.

Additionally, the expert states that Vladimir Putin aims to remain in power, but in the event of an economic collapse, no one would be able to keep him there.

"Putin wants to stay in power. But in an economic collapse, no one will leave him in power," stresses Kotos.

Thus, the Kremlin's strategy of delaying peace talks appears risky, as the absence of a concrete plan and reliance on external factors could affect Russia's stability on the international stage. This analysis comes amid a protracted war that has already caused significant global economic and security disruptions.

The situation surrounding peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remains complex, and the Kremlin's strategic decisions could have far-reaching consequences. Internal economic problems and external political challenges may push the Kremlin to reconsider its approaches at the negotiating table. As the international community closely monitors developments, any shifts in strategy are crucial for assessing potential scenarios in the Ukraine conflict.