Expert: Russia's Full Mobilization of Eligible Men Is Impossible and Risks the State.

Constraints on Russian Mobilization

According to UATV: Military expert Serhiy Hrabskyi states that Russia cannot call up all men eligible for war, as doing so would threaten the state's existence. He notes that Russia's population is 140 million, but only 10% of that, or 14 million people, are available for mobilization. This means the country's mobilization capacity is limited to roughly 2 to 2.5 million individuals. The expert's analysis highlights a fundamental weakness in Russia's long-term war strategy, which relies heavily on its larger population.

Hrabskyi further emphasized that a core issue is the Russian military-political leadership's lack of access to the resources needed to fund army service. According to data, Ukrainian defense forces eliminated 1,130 occupiers on the front lines as of January 19. Since the start of the full-scale invasion, the Russian army has suffered losses exceeding 1.2 million personnel. These staggering casualty figures compound the strain on Russia's manpower and economic resources.

The Frontline Situation

Therefore, the realities of mobilization in Russia reflect the precarious situation the country finds itself in, which, according to the expert, could endanger its very existence. This situation underscores the severe pressure Russia faces in the military context, as limited resources and massive personnel losses may impact its ability to sustain military operations. Amid increasing pressure from Ukraine and the international community, these factors could force Russia to reconsider its strategy both on the frontline and domestically.