Ukraine Rejects Budapest 2.0: Why New Security Guarantees Without NATO Will Not Work.

According to ТСН: Ukraine rejects new proposals for security guarantees without NATO membership. They are perceived as a repetition of the Budapest Memorandum, which did not deliver. Kyiv demands a clear action plan and specific mechanisms for protection in case of a new attack.

Need for Specific Measures

The political scientist notes that 'the peace plan of Europe and the USA aims to reassure Ukraine's fears about a possible attack. We do not need to be reassured — it would be better if all of you were as calm as we are after 4 years of war. If it is about reassurance, then these are facades, and we need more than facades.'

Kyiv demands specifics: how many planes will be provided in response to an attack, how will airspace be closed, what weapon systems are planned to be activated, and where will shelters for F-16s be located.

The Situation with the Budapest Memorandum

The situation with the Budapest Memorandum is repeating, where Ukraine was given guarantees that did not work, and as a result, the country had to ask for help from the world. Now it faces 'Budapest 2.0' again — promises without clear mechanisms of action.

The political scientist emphasizes: 'If they provide an analogy to Article 5 but do not admit to NATO — it is doubtful whether this will work. Even the Baltic states and Finland, which are already in the Alliance, have doubts about real protection. For Ukraine, there is no specificity.'

Transparent Protection Mechanisms

Ukraine insists on transparent and understandable protection mechanisms that will guarantee security in case of a new attack from Russia. The country refuses 'facade' promises and wants a clear action plan from the West with specific military and defense measures.

President Volodymyr Zelensky, in his video address, previously stated that 'Russia sees the next year as a year of continuing large-scale hostilities.' The signals currently coming from Moscow indicate a lack of real desire for peace.

In this context, it is important to understand that Ukraine not only needs to hear promises but also to receive concrete guarantees that will ensure its security. Considering the current threat, Kyiv seeks dialogue and practical support from international partners who understand the risks arising from aggression by Russia.