The World with Russia in 2026: Former Intelligence Chief Named Possible Timelines.

According to ТСН: There is a likelihood that Ukraine will be able to sign peace agreements and halt fighting along the front line as early as February-March 2026. This will pave the way for presidential elections to be held in May of the same year.

This was stated by former head of Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, Army General Mykola Malomuzh.

Negotiations and Diplomatic Efforts

The general believes that the key factor will be the activity of the negotiation process between Ukraine, the USA, and Russia. If the parties can quickly prepare the necessary documentation, the implementation of the plan for the 'demilitarization' of part of Donbas and the establishment of a ceasefire could occur as early as winter 2026.

Malomuzh emphasized that this is a complicated diplomatic process. It will take about 3-4 months of intensive work to conclude an agreement.

'This will involve several more rounds of negotiations with the USA and the Russian Federation, preparation of documents, and conducting a concluding summit regarding the signing of the peace agreement, as well as working out all monitoring mechanisms,' Malomuzh explained.

Election and Referendum

The former intelligence chief predicts that if a ceasefire is maintained, the political process in Ukraine may resume in the spring.

'Starting in May, more free elections or even a referendum regarding the fate of the controlled part of Donbas could be held,' the general noted.

He stressed that swift decisions should not be expected, but achieving specific agreements in March-April seems to be a quite realistic positive scenario.

Plan B: Possible Consequences of Negotiation Failure

Malomuzh also considered the negative scenario if Russia continues the conflict: the war will last. In this case, according to the general, Ukraine and the world need to take measures for global pressure.

This concerns strengthening systematic support from Europe:

• Military and technological support.

• Economic investments.

• Intelligence cooperation.

• Severe economic sanctions.

The goal of such pressure is to deprive Russia of any alternatives, both military and economic, to compel them to sit at the negotiating table on acceptable terms.

Let us remind you that in relations with the Ukrainian counterpart Trump stated about a significant proximity to the completion of the war, estimating the finalization of agreements at 95%. The American leader confirmed that he held detailed consultations with key allies in Europe and had a conversation with Putin.

Meanwhile, Zelensky stated that the developed peace plan with 20 points is currently approved by 90%.

Thus, the situation surrounding the peace process in Ukraine may change for the better if negotiations are successful. However, if the Kremlin chooses the path of conflict again, the international community will need to take measures to support Ukraine in its struggle for peace and stability.