Predictions for 2025: 19 out of 25 events became reality.

Predictions for 2025: 19 out of 25 events became reality

According to Vox - Технології: An analysis of the events of 2025 showed that out of 25 predictions, 19 became a reality, resulting in an accuracy rate of 80%. Among the correct predictions are:

• The US Congress decision to implement tariffs at 20%.
• The preservation of the US Department of Education, confirmed by the administration lawyer's statement:

  “Only Congress can abolish the Department of Education”

• The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which will save $1.1 trillion on medical programs over ten years.

An important event was that Jerome Powell remained the head of the Federal Reserve, to which President Donald Trump commented:

“The removal of Powell cannot happen soon enough!”

Among other correct predictions, it is worth noting that:

• Benjamin Netanyahu remained the Prime Minister of Israel until the end of November 2025;
• Iran did not acquire nuclear weapons;
• Artificial intelligence technologies did not reach AGI level in 2025;
• Electric vehicles accounted for 10.5% of new vehicle sales in the US in the third quarter of 2025.

However, not all predictions turned out to be accurate. For example, Max Verstappen could not win the Formula 1 championship in 2025, which was one of the four incorrect predictions. In total, two predictions remained uncertain, highlighting the complexity of accurately forecasting future events.

This analysis emphasizes the importance of forecasting in political and economic spheres, where government and market activities can significantly influence the overall development of events. Successful predictions can indicate the stability of certain institutions and policies, while errors in forecasts highlight the unpredictability and complexity of the modern world. In the face of rapid changes and global challenges, such as technological progress and international relations, the accuracy of forecasting becomes increasingly important for decision-making.