The Economy of the Russian Federation on the Brink of Collapse: When Will the Kremlin Stop the War.
According to FREEДOM:
The Situation in the Russian Economy and Its Impact on the War
Military analyst Ivan Stupak believes that the Kremlin, in particular Vladimir Putin, receives distorted information about events on the front and the state of the Russian economy.
"In Putin's administration, they have learned to maneuver, to guess Putin's mood. I don't think they hide the truth from him on the front lines, but they present it with such a spin that Ukraine is exaggerating everything..."– noted Stupak during a broadcast on the FREEДOM channel.
In his opinion, the actual situation may differ significantly from what is presented to Putin. It is known that he was indeed informed about the true state of affairs in the Russian economy.
Economic Forecasts
Stupak emphasizes the significant slowdown of the Russian economy, which is facing serious difficulties.
"The reality is that the Russian economy is slowing down very seriously. This year, instead of the planned growth of 4%, there will only be 1%..."His words indicate that further slowing may influence the Kremlin's decisions regarding the intensity of military actions.
The analyst also believes that
"this may possibly become one of the incentives for the Russian authorities to start reconsidering something in this war towards reducing the intensity of military actions..."In his view, economic problems may become a key factor for stopping the war, although currently, this is unlikely.
Further Comments
Recall that earlier the High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs, Kaja Kallas, emphasized that Putin ignores any peace initiatives, so it is necessary to increase pressure on Russia.
Stupak's sentence about distorted information indicates a probable crisis of trust within the Russian leadership. The worsening economic situation may affect the further development of the conflict, raising doubts about the Kremlin's readiness for intense military actions. The context of these events may hint at a change in Russia's strategy, but real shifts are still far off.
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