Macron Makes First Call to Lukashenko Amid Fears Belarus Could Be Used for Attacks on Ukraine.

Assessing the Threat of Belarusian Territory in the Conflict

According to UATV: Analysts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have examined the potential for Belarus to serve as a launchpad for strikes against Ukraine. Their findings suggest that Russian forces might target not only major cities like Kyiv but also crucial supply lines that bring Western aid into the country. Key objectives could include the M-06 highway linking Kyiv to Chop and railway routes coming from Poland.

Background on the Diplomatic Contact

Against this backdrop, French President Emmanuel Macron held his first phone conversation with Alexander Lukashenko since 2022. During the call, Macron stressed the need to avoid direct involvement in the war, highlighting France’s cautious approach to managing relations with both Belarus and Russia.

The assessment of possible military operations from Belarus points to an elevated threat level for Ukraine, given that logistics routes are vital for sustaining its defenses. Macron’s outreach to Lukashenko may reflect an effort by France to open a channel of communication and prevent further escalation in the region—a move that could carry significant implications for security across Eastern Europe.