Even with a ceasefire, Russia continues the war against Ukraine - warns a former CIA expert.
Analysis of the prospects for a ceasefire
According to Novyny.live: Former senior CIA officer Glenn Corn warns that a potential ceasefire agreement in the Ukraine conflict would only bring a temporary lull on the front. Even if a ceasefire is agreed upon this year, it does not mean the end of hostilities. Corn emphasizes that Russia will continue its psychological warfare and propaganda against Ukraine - even after such an agreement.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky calls for a complete and unconditional ceasefire. In contrast, Russian President Vladimir Putin ties an end to hostilities to the fulfillment of the so-called 'Anchorage Agreements'. According to Corn, after a ceasefire, Moscow may increasingly rely on espionage, propaganda, and political influence to pursue its goals.
'Unfortunately, psychological warfare, propaganda, espionage, and political influence against Ukraine will continue.' Glenn Corn
Corn simultaneously expressed hope for a peaceful solution and stated:
'I very much hope that a ceasefire will be achieved by the end of the year. Then perhaps the active phase of the war will end.' Glenn Corn
However, his forecasts suggest that even with a ceasefire, the threats from Russia will remain. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio also emphasized that there is no military solution to the conflict, underscoring the complexity of the situation.
The multifaceted nature of the conflict
The prospects for a peace process remain uncertain. Experts suggest that a ceasefire would by no means be equivalent to stable peace in the region. Ongoing psychological and informational warfare is likely to remain a central element of Russia's strategy and complicate any approach to lasting peace.
The current debate on a possible ceasefire in Ukraine illustrates the complexity of the conflict. While an agreement could offer hope for a reduction in violence, experts point out that Russia will likely continue to use other means to influence Ukraine. This could further complicate efforts for genuine peace, as psychological and informational campaigns remain part of the Kremlin's strategic repertoire.
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