The economic crisis in Russia will not stop the war: historian explains why.
According to ТСН: As long as Russian President Vladimir Putin has the illusion of success of the occupying forces on the front, he will not refuse to continue the war. Moreover, the economic crisis in Russia may intensify his craving for conflict.
This opinion was expressed by Ukrainian and American historian Serhiy Plokhiy in an interview with Vitaliy Portnikov on the "Espresso" channel.
"The crisis situation in the economy [of Russia] does not necessarily lead to the end of hostilities. It may, in fact, strengthen the desire to fight in order to resolve this crisis within," he believes.
According to Plokhiy, persuading Putin to peace should be based on two components: the worsening economic situation in the aggressor state and the movement of the front line in a direction desired by the Kremlin.
"As long as Putin has the illusion that he can move the front line, in my opinion, we can forget about even a bad peace," he said.
The historian cited the example of the Korean War, where peace negotiations lasted for years.
"Actually, peace came when both sides realized that they would not be able to seriously push the front line. That their chances are much greater as negotiators than as warriors," noted Serhiy Plokhiy.
The expert emphasized that he sees no desire for peace in Putin, regardless of how much the U.S. President's special envoy Vitkoff smiles at him or how much Jared Kushner supports his image with his business approach.
"I do not see that Putin would agree to this based solely on bad economics," concluded Plokhiy.
Recall that former commander of the U.S. Army in Europe, military expert Ben Hodges believes that the war in Ukraine will end only when Putin realizes his inability to win.
Serhiy Plokhiy's words underscore the complexity of the current situation and the impossibility of quickly achieving peace. As long as Putin does not consider that his military actions may fail, it will be extremely difficult to expect negotiations. The leadership of Ukraine and the global community will continue to closely monitor the developments, as a prolonged conflict situation may threaten stability in the region.
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