Trump's Strategy of 'Delayed War' Is Crippling Iran's Economy.
Economic Pressure on Iran
According to UATV: U.S. President Donald Trump is employing a 'delayed war' strategy against Iran, applying economic pressure on the regime through a series of ultimatums. This approach has triggered public panic and is driving the country toward financial collapse, with Iranian banks in a state of default and the national economy in severe distress. This analysis was presented on February 21, 2023, by Igor Semivolos, Director of the Center for Middle Eastern Studies. This strategy represents a significant shift from traditional military posturing to a campaign of economic attrition.
The Consequences of Trump's Tactics
According to Semivolos,
“the tactic of exhaustion is now hitting Tehran harder than missiles” – Igor Semivolos. He noted that the deadlines set by Trump are accelerating a massive flight of capital from Iranian banks. 'Money is currently being drained from the economy at an enormous speed,' the expert stated. This is creating immense tension within Iran's ruling elite, as 'the current situation and the deadlines surrounding Iran are generating huge internal pressure.'
Trump gave Iran a 10-day deadline to resolve issues surrounding the nuclear deal, and Semivolos emphasized that
“the main objective is to wear down the Iranians with deadlines or ultimatums” – Igor Semivolos. The expert also pointed out that 'the root causes that sparked the January protests have not disappeared.' In his view, the perception of a 'delayed war' could become unbearable for the Iranian populace, potentially provoking them or forcing the regime to make concessions.
It is noted that 'unlike in previous times, the regime had a margin of safety.' However, the current crisis is compelling observers to consider the potential repercussions for Iran's domestic politics, because 'the deadlines and ultimatums that Trump is setting, unlike with Russia, are meaningful.' Thus, the mounting economic pressure could have serious implications for the stability of the Iranian regime.
Amid this escalating economic pressure, analysts observe that Trump's tactics could lead to significant internal changes within the country. Experts warn the situation may incite further social unrest or, conversely, push the regime toward compromise. The instability in Iran poses a direct challenge to regional security, particularly concerning the ongoing negotiations over its nuclear program.
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