Missile Chessboard: USA, Iran, and China in the Game of Strategic Deterrence - Media.

Missile depot in the game of strategic containment
Missile depot in the game of strategic containment

Iran's missile attacks on Israel have shown how the effectiveness and shortcomings of the USA's and their allies' missile defense systems may impact a potential conflict with China in the Indo-Pacific region, analysts note.

The three hundred and ninety missiles that Iran launched on Israel this year provide insight into the effectiveness of missile attacks and defense. For example, Chinese missiles will be harder to intercept, and the ability to retaliate may be necessary for deterring a massive attack.

Experts believe that in the future, deterrence through punishment may become the norm, as effective defense does not always reduce the effectiveness of missile attacks.

In the Indo-Pacific region, distances are significantly greater than in the Middle East, and China's weaponry is more advanced. Target zones are scattered throughout the region, complicating a massive attack.

There is currently no immediate threat of missile conflict in the Indo-Pacific region, but China is conducting exercises near Taiwan. The USA has deployed new types of weapons in the region this year to counter China.

In Israel, various air and missile defense systems are used, from long-range systems to the Iron Dome system for less complex threats. The USA and its allies in the Indo-Pacific region utilize systems from various companies.

The Chinese DF-26 missile can reach Guam, where important US military facilities are located. With several hundred such missiles, China holds an advantage over Iranian missiles with shorter range.

Chinese capabilities in missile attacks surpass those of Iran in many aspects, which can complicate defense.

Following the missile attacks on Israel, there is more information on the effectiveness of offensive and defensive systems. This may reduce the likelihood of conflict as military forces planning missile strikes will consider the possibility of missile defense. Uncertainty about the effectiveness of defense can lead to conflict escalation.


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