Zelensky vs Trump: Will Ukraine Receive Security Guarantees from the USA.

According to ТСН: At the beginning of 2025, the President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, found himself in a difficult situation in diplomatic relations with the President of the USA, Donald Trump, and Vice President JD Vance. After a tense conversation in the Oval Office, relations between Kyiv and Washington began to fluctuate — from partial warming to new signs of tension.

It is noted that Europe has intensified efforts to support Ukraine. The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Keir Starmer, and the President of France, Emmanuel Macron, announced the creation of a “coalition of willing” comprising 34 countries, aimed at strengthening Europe’s role in ensuring Ukraine’s security after the end of hostilities. Subsequently, Macron announced that 26 countries were ready to deploy their troops to Ukraine as part of multinational forces following a peace agreement or ceasefire.

However, as Politico notes, a decisive factor remains security guarantees from the USA. Without Washington's support, European initiatives may remain on paper, as they depend on American logistics and military resources.

Signals and Concerns

Only at the end of 2025 does the question of the USA's real commitment to guaranteeing Ukraine's security become increasingly pressing, and more signals indicate a possible influence from Russia and its President, Vladimir Putin, on this process.

In Ukraine, historical parallels with the Budapest Memorandum of 1994 are particularly troubling, as security guarantees in exchange for the relinquishment of nuclear weapons could not protect the country from aggression. This experience prompts Kyiv to demand legally binding guarantees rather than mere political declarations.

According to information, Zelensky is ready to consider the possibility of relinquishing NATO membership in exchange for reliable security guarantees from the USA. Meanwhile, Washington emphasizes that such proposals “will not be on the table forever,” which drives Ukraine to make decisions in a timely manner.

Possible Steps and Their Consequences

The possibility of providing Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles is also being discussed, which could significantly enhance the deterrence of Russia. However, even such steps are considered insufficient by experts to ensure long-term peace without clear security mechanisms.

The authors of the article note that even if the USA's guarantees are formally enshrined and ratified by Congress, their real effectiveness will depend on the political will of future American administrations, as well as on how these guarantees are perceived by the Kremlin.

“In war there is always a principle: the enemy also has a right to a voice,” concludes Politico, emphasizing that without Russia's willingness to compromise, no guarantee system can be considered absolutely reliable.

In addition, several European countries have expressed readiness to send troops to Ukraine if the need arises.

Thus, the situation regarding Ukraine's security remains tense. Kyiv seeks to secure guaranteed support from the USA and ensure solidarity among European partners. The next steps in diplomatic relations and potential solutions may prove crucial for the stability of the region.