Peace Negotiations with Russia: When to Expect Real Movement from the Kremlin.

According to ТСН: Negotiations regarding a possible 'peace plan' for Ukraine may continue until the end of winter. This information is provided by sources in Western diplomatic circles and Ukrainian observers.

In particular, one source in Western diplomacy notes that Russia will only begin to make real concessions at the final stage of negotiations. According to optimistic estimates, this process will take at least a few months.

The Kremlin under Pressure of Time and Economy

Ukrainian observers believe that the Kremlin will not be ready for serious negotiations until the end of winter. This time will be critical due to internal challenges faced by the Russian leadership:

1. A New Wave of Mobilization: At the end of winter, Putin will have to make an important decision regarding a new wave of mobilization.

2. Economic Pressure: By this time, the Russian economy will feel a significantly greater burden due to declining oil revenues and the impact of international sanctions.

Thus, the combination of military and economic factors may force Moscow to adopt a more realistic position in negotiations.

Previous Statements

Advisor to the Head of the President's Office Mykhailo Podoliak noted that issues of territories, troop numbers, and alliance capabilities are the most sensitive aspects of the 'peace plan'. These topics require negotiations at the highest level between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Donald Trump.

Deputy Head of the President's Office Iryna Mudra emphasized that territorial concessions by the Russian Federation within the peace plan are an invitation to a new war. Ukraine's territorial integrity and sovereignty, as well as the aggressor's accountability, cannot be a subject of negotiation. Peace must be just.

Moreover, Ukraine's ambassador to the USA Olha Stefanishyna stressed that Ukraine does not consider changing borders. According to her, possible discussions may only relate to technical details of defining the 'line of cessation', and 'changing Ukrainian borders is not a topic for negotiation.'

All this indicates that negotiations on the peace plan may become complicated and lengthy, as significant influences from both internal and external factors are expected. Preserving Ukraine's territorial integrity remains the highest priority for the Ukrainian side, while the Kremlin, under pressure of time and economic constraints, may open up new opportunities for discussion.