How the War in Ukraine Might End: The Times Named Four Scenarios.


According to information about Ukraine published in The Times, there are four scenarios for the development of the war, all of which exclude the possibility of the sudden death of the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin.
Scenario 1: Defeat
According to the first scenario, Russia will continue military activity for a long Time and evade negotiations at the international level. If Ukraine does not receive support from the USA, it is threatened with defeat. This could have serious consequences for global security, including loss of territory, mass migration, and increased Russian influence in the region.
Scenario 2: Disadvantageous Peace
In the second scenario, deprived of Western support, Ukraine will be forced to make compromises and conclude an agreement that will involve the division of the country and the establishment of a pro-Russian government. This will be considered a significant defeat for Ukraine and its allies.
Scenario 3: Ceasefire
In the third scenario, the conflict will escalate to a ceasefire, but without the conclusion of a peace agreement. This may only lead to a frozen conflict and increased likelihood of new hostilities in the future.
Scenario 4: Peaceful Resolution
The fourth scenario is hope for Ukraine. It envisions improving Ukraine's positions thanks to support from the USA and the possibility of conducting negotiations from a strong position. This could provide the country with economic stability, sovereignty, and security guarantees. However, a complete return to the borders of 1991 is unlikely.
Ukraine must take decisive steps together with the USA, including sanctions against Russia and providing military and economic support. At the same time, Ukraine may be forced to agree to certain concessions at the territorial level if it receives reliable security guarantees from the USA.
Over the past day, the enemy has carried out more than 650 strikes, including 32 aerial strikes and over 4000 shellings of our army's positions. In total, there have been 159 military clashes since the beginning of the war. Ukrainian defenders continue to effectively defend their territory and deal a significant blow to the enemy's army.
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- Frontline situation as of April 25, 2025. Summary of the General Staff