Russia's 'Surplus Population': Who Is Being Targeted in a Reported Social Purge?.

Russia's Demographic and Economic Crisis

According to UATV: The war in Ukraine is exacerbating severe demographic and economic pressures within Russia. One consequence is a growing number of citizens now deemed 'surplus' and targeted for military conscription. Economist Igor Lipsits commented on this situation, noting that

'Russia has a huge number of people who are needed by no one; I call them 'surplus people.''

This indicates that army recruitment is partly drawing from this marginalized segment of the population. This strategy reflects a grim calculus in a nation facing a shrinking workforce and high casualties from the conflict.

Mounting Economic Strain

Economic hardship in Russia is becoming increasingly acute. According to data, by the end of 2025, sanctions will have been imposed on 24 thousand legal entities and individuals. This figure is three times higher than in Iran and five times greater than in Syria and North Korea combined. These sanctions compound the challenges for Russians already grappling with soaring prices. Igor Lipsits further observes that

'their incomes are indexed at a rate significantly lower than price increases,'

highlighting a growing disparity between wages and inflation. These economic strains could lead to severe social consequences. The expert expressed alarm that

'it is possible—to shift Russia into a labor camp mode, so that it lives like North Korea.'

Thus, Russia's demographic and economic problems are intensifying against the backdrop of the war in Ukraine, raising profound concerns about the future of its population and the state itself. Amid tightening sanctions and rising social tension, the country faces risks with potential long-term consequences for its stability and development. Increasing unemployment and a declining standard of living could trigger social unrest and political instability, further complicating Russia's domestic situation.