Canada fears becoming Trump's next target: what is known about the threats.
According to ТСН: Canada expresses concern that it may become the next 'target' of US President Donald Trump after the recent operation in Venezuela and threats regarding Greenland.
Possible scenarios
Experts do not rule out the possibility of 'military coercion' from the US. However, global security specialist Thomas Homer-Dixon emphasized that any pressure from Washington could be an 'extremely costly' attempt.
Former Canadian government security adviser Wesley Wark characterized Trump's actions regarding Venezuela and Greenland as 'the last warning signs for Canada.' He noted that this indicates that the US 'is no longer the country it once was.'
'I think many officials in Ottawa find it hard to believe that we are in such a situation, no matter what evidence there is,' he said.
Military and economic situation
Analysts doubt the likelihood of a full-scale US military invasion of Canada. However, experts estimate that Trump may resort to economic pressure, harming the Canadian economy to achieve his goals. As Bloomberg notes, Trump's actions in Venezuela demonstrated his willingness to take adventurous steps for dominance in the Western Hemisphere.
Moreover, the Canadian Armed Forces are not prepared for a more aggressive security environment, as their numbers do not exceed 100,000 personnel.
The Canadian government plans to increase military personnel and invest in armaments, but these efforts will yield results only in the medium term.
Economic dependency
Canada is also facing the threat of economic dependency on Washington, as about 70% of Canadian exports are directed to the US. The cancellation of benefits under the USMCA agreement or the introduction of new tariffs could severely impact the country's economy. Therefore, Canada is trying to diversify its trade, focusing on Asian markets.
Assistant Professor Philip Lagasse of Carleton University warns that increasing concessions by Canada in an effort to maintain access to the US market could lead to a loss of real sovereignty.
International cooperation
It was previously reported that Canada may deploy its troops in Ukraine as part of multinational forces and train Ukrainian military personnel, but only after a peace agreement is reached.
Trump is also paying attention to the Greenland deal, stating that if it cannot be achieved 'the easy way,' then it will have to be done 'the hard way.'
The context of these events indicates instability in international relations provoked by US policy. Despite the improbability of a military conflict with Canada, the issue of economic pressure could significantly affect bilateral relations. Canada, trying to find a balance between cooperation with the US and developing its own economy, continues to seek new trading opportunities on the international stage.
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