Expert refutes the possibility of an attack with a thousand Shahids: Explanation of the logistics of the RF.

According to ТСН: The forecasts about the possibility of a simultaneous launch of thousands of drones of the 'Shahed' type have no basis, as Russia does not have such significant stocks.

Production against costs: What remains

According to the expert, the occupiers have already consumed most of the produced goods by the third decade of December. Although the production rates allow for regular attacks, this does not guarantee the existence of strategic reserves for large-scale assaults.

The expert noted that pauses in attacks or a decrease in the number of drones on certain days indicate attempts to gather drones for upcoming attacks, which typically do not exceed a few dozen units.

'The Russians do not have large stocks of 'Shahids' left this month. So far, the Russians have fired about 2200 'Shahids'... With a production of over three thousand. Thus, they still have 800-900 'Shahids'. This means it is fundamentally impossible to have 1000, even if, for example, they launched all 900 tomorrow. Although that is unrealistic. The Russians have stable production. They cannot accumulate excessive stocks,' noted Valeriy Romanenko.

Tactics of accumulation

Valeriy Romanenko explained that the Russian attack strategy is based on a balance between current production and the attempt to create the illusion of massing. The occupiers are unable to accumulate large stocks, which is why they are forced to form drones 'in portions' over several days.

The expert provided an example: if the enemy launches a small number of UAVs (about 30-50 units) in one day, it means that they are saving the rest of the equipment produced during that time for a stronger attack the next day. In this way, Russian companies can accumulate about a hundred drones after 2-3 days of stable production.

Therefore, the analyst stated, the scenario of a simultaneous launch of a thousand 'Shahids' is technically impossible. To gather such a number of devices, the enemy would have to completely cease attacks for a long time, which contradicts their strategy of daily assaults. Any assumptions about 'a thousand drones in a salvo' are deemed unrealistic and unfounded by Romanenko.

Thus, even under the condition of stable operation of Russian factories, logistics and the intensity of UAV usage do not allow for the implementation of the 'simultaneous thousand' scenario that is often discussed on social networks.

We remind you that the Russian army conducted a massive attack on Ukraine on December 23 with strike drones and various types of missiles. The main target of the enemy's attacks was the energy infrastructure. Emergency power outages were introduced in several regions. Unfortunately, there are casualties and injuries due to the Russian attack.

As a result of the attack, the Ukrainian nuclear power plant's financial sum has decreased. The Ministry of Energy emphasized that this is a violation of nuclear safety by the aggressor state.

Earlier, it was reported that the massive shelling of Ukraine's energy infrastructure on December 23 aimed to disconnect key nuclear power plants from the power grid.