Fuel prices in Ukraine will rise by 10% starting in 2026: reasons and consequences.

According to inkorr.com: In Ukraine, the cost of fuel currently exceeds real market prices by 14–16%, and a new price increase of 7–10% is expected at the beginning of 2026. This is due to increased excise duties and a lack of state control, according to fuel market experts. As noted in

"Kyiv 1"

Analysts point out that the current situation is caused by the concentration of the market in the hands of a few large companies, leading to monopolization. As a result, gas stations make up to 8 hryvnias of profit from every liter of fuel sold, while retail fuel prices are kept artificially high.

Excise duties will increase - fuel prices will rise

Beginning January 1, 2026, a new phase of excise duty increases on fuel products will commence in Ukraine. This will inevitably affect the retail price of gasoline, diesel, and autogas.

It is expected that the excise duties on fuel will rise:

• gasoline - from 271.7 to 300.8 euros per ton;

• diesel - from 215.7 to 253.8 euros per ton;

• liquefied gas - from 173 to 198 euros per ton.

According to preliminary forecasts, the new rates may add another 1.5–2 hryvnias per liter of fuel, as well as about 5% to the overall markup.

Possible deficit and price increase

Experts estimate the risk of fuel shortages at 40%, which could lead to a sharp price increase and supply disruptions. They advise drivers to prepare in advance and create at least a partial fuel reserve.

In November, prices at gas stations were as follows: gasoline A-95 - 58.66 UAH/l, diesel - 56.52 UAH/l, autogas - 34.46 UAH/l. However, analysts warn that the current stability may be temporary, and the market situation may change in the coming months.

The coming months promise to be challenging for Ukrainian drivers. Given the increase in excise duties, the cost of fuel will inevitably rise, and the risks of shortages may further complicate the situation. Drivers should monitor market changes to respond promptly to potential supply disruptions.