Zaluzhny: Russia may need security guarantees - what this means.
According to ТСН: In the future, the development of technologies and weapons may lead to the requirement for security guarantees not only from Ukraine but also from Russia.
Security issues and strategic decisions
According to former Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and current Ambassador of Ukraine to the United Kingdom Valerii Zaluzhnyi, it is currently impossible to achieve the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war, particularly due to the issue of security guarantees. The lack of proper international law and mechanisms to support it complicates the conclusion of peace agreements without creating long-term security guarantees.
"Such security guarantees could have included: Ukraine's accession to NATO, the deployment of nuclear weapons on Ukrainian territory, or the placement of a large military contingent capable of opposing Russia. However, this is not being discussed today. Given the technological and doctrinal unpreparedness of any NATO member or other states, besides Russia, Ukraine, and China, this issue cannot fundamentally be considered. Therefore, the war is likely to continue. Not only in military terms but also in political and economic spheres," stated the former commander.
War in the context of new technologies
It is also important to note that war is gradually becoming cheaper due to technological progress, while there is an increasing overall strike capability.
"Ultimately, this may lead to a situation where Russia will eventually need the same security guarantees. No matter how strange this may sound," he notes.
Zaluzhnyi adds that this function may be performed by the capitals of both sides.
"The capitals that, in their turn, will prevent collapse in the post-war years in both Ukraine and Russia. Because, of course, such economic losses will have political consequences. This has already happened in the early 20th century," he explained.
Predictions for the situation's development
Earlier, Zaluzhnyi expressed his thoughts on Russia's goals regarding Ukraine and shared concerns about predictions.
"Ukraine is in an extremely difficult position, where a quick peace will certainly only be a devastating defeat and a loss of independence. However, as time has shown, it has not been achieved," Zaluzhnyi noted.
Thus, the Ukrainian general emphasizes the complexity of the situation that will arise after the conflict ends, pointing to potential political and economic consequences for both countries. In the context of modern technologies and possible changes in the balance of power, it is essential for the international community to work intensively on creating effective mechanisms for guaranteed security that can protect against further conflicts.
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