Putin is ready to drag the war until 2029: what this means for peace.
According to ТСН: Russian President Vladimir Putin and U.S. President Donald Trump express a desire to reach a peace agreement, but their views on this differ significantly.
Political analyst Vitaly Portnikov believes that Trump seeks to end the conflict as soon as possible, while Putin may prolong the negotiations until 2029, when Trump's presidency in the White House expires.
“The day that demonstrates Putin's unwillingness to agree to peace will inevitably come, no matter how much the Russian president drags his feet.”
Portnikov notes that Putin's 'Direct Line' indicates that he continues to live with war and has no intention of ending it. In this context, the question arises: “What do they expect in the States when they hope to 'bring' the Russian president to some peace agreement?”
“There has been no hint of readiness to end the war in Putin's statements or in the comments of Russian officials.”
He also points out that during Ukrainian elections, Putin may only 'pause' shelling for one day, which indicates his lack of genuine interest in peace. Portnikov emphasizes that Putin does not hide his interest in Ukraine's capitulation.
According to him, although Putin may paint optimistic pictures of economic cooperation for Trump's envoys, these prospects appear unrealistic against the backdrop of war.
“But the war starts to look like merely unpleasant circumstances that prevent cooperation from moving forward.”
Portnikov also notes that pressure may begin not on Russia, but on Ukraine, which, according to him, 'stubbornly' hinders business.
Meanwhile, strategic communications consultant Yuri Bogdanov asserts that Putin can no longer exist without war. He emphasizes that NATO's collective security system has not yet been fully tested, as the fifth article of the Alliance has only been invoked once, after the attacks in the U.S.
International security expert Taras Zhovtenko adds that Russia plans escalation by 2026. According to Zhovtenko, Moscow is considering a scenario of creating a land corridor between Poland and Lithuania, which could lead to direct conflict with NATO. The Kremlin plans to use the fabricated 'blockade' of the Kaliningrad region as a pretext for aggression.
These expert statements allow for a better understanding of the situation in international relations, where disputes between Russia and the West have been ongoing for several years. With pressure on Ukraine and a change in Russia's strategy, the world may once again face challenges regarding security and stability in Europe. Peace negotiations remain complicated, and assessments of the real intentions of the parties open new horizons for analyzing the current situation.
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