Russia prepares an energy crash in Ukraine: just before a complete blackout.
According to ТСН: Massive attacks by Russia on Ukraine's energy infrastructure this year have become more intense and extensive than ever before. Through drone and missile strikes, the country is on the brink of energy chaos, and prolonged power outages could have critical consequences for Ukrainians in winter.
The series of attacks began as early as October, leading to a significant power shortage throughout Ukraine. The power transmission systems that ensure electricity supply from the western regions, where it is produced, to the eastern part of the country are the most affected. This effectively divides the country into two halves.
“If we are not at the brink of a complete blackout in the east of the country, we are at least very close,” reported a senior European diplomat on condition of anonymity.
Experts warn that it is impossible to determine the exact number of attacks needed to completely shut down the power supply. This depends on the affected objects and the speed of restoring the supply. As a result of the attacks, Ukraine's air defense has identified vulnerabilities that complicate network protection.
In Kyiv, residents remain without electricity for up to 16 hours a day, while businesses largely operate with generators.
Ukrainian officials propose an energy ceasefire: Russia should halt attacks on energy infrastructure while Ukraine refrains from attacking Russian oil and gas facilities.
“I have been publicly calling for weeks to offer the Russians an agreed energy ceasefire. This step would make the winter outlook slightly less pessimistic,” said MP Victoria Gryb.
The president of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelensky, noted that he is “ready” to adhere to a ceasefire, but the U.S. believes that Kyiv is on the verge of completing a more comprehensive agreement that could form the basis for a complete ceasefire.
Deputy Energy Minister Mykola Kolisnyk reported that Russia carried out about 5000 drone and missile strikes on power plants, power transmission networks, and gas infrastructures in November, which is double the amount compared to the beginning of the year.
A source from “Ukrenergo,” Valeriy Osadchuk, reported that the attacks also target infrastructure for the transmission and distribution of electricity while restrictions on power supply exist in Ukraine.
“The situation could be much worse if it weren't for the engineers of 'Ukrenergo,'” says Mykhailo Honchar, president of the Center for Global Studies “Strategy XXI.” “However, the electricity supply will remain unstable throughout the winter and even in spring.”
Despite the threats and prolonged power outages, Ukrainians claim they are not ready to agree to a potentially unjust peace agreement with Russia. It should be recalled that Ukraine had previously rejected a risky compromise proposed by the U.S. and Russia.
Currently, the energy situation in Ukraine is extremely tense, and residents are eagerly awaiting an improvement in conditions. Authorities and energy companies are working to ensure stable electricity supply in the face of constant threats. The challenges remain serious, but Ukrainians continue to seek ways to adapt to the new conditions and support the country's energy security.
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